Skilled Trades Shortage: HVAC, Plumbing Hit by Biased Rules

Posted By: Admin | Posted In: For Profit Education Industry | Top Picks | Trending News |
June 2, 2025

Fair Is Fair: One Rulebook for All Colleges

Few ideas feel more American than “equal rules for equal players.” Yet in higher education, two parallel universes coexist: stringent regulations for for-profit institutions and comparatively lighter oversight for their non-profit counterparts. If a rule is designed to protect students and taxpayers, shouldn’t it apply regardless of a school’s tax status?

Why For-Profits Face Stricter Scrutiny

  • Historical abuses. Aggressive recruiting and poor completion rates in the 2000s triggered headline scandals and federal crackdowns.
  • Perceived incentives. Shareholder returns, critics argue, can conflict with student outcomes.
  • Targeted policies. Rules like Gainful Employment and the 90/10 revenue test were drafted specifically to curb for-profit excesses.

That backstory explains the asymmetry, but it doesn’t justify keeping it forever.

Non-Profits Aren’t Immune

  • Some private non-profits post lower graduation rates than their for-profit peers.
  • Tuition-driven non-profits can still chase revenue through pricey master’s programs and online certificates.
  • Both sectors compete for the same federal aid dollars and the same students’ hopes.

If transparency in job placement or limits on federal-aid dependence are sound public-interest safeguards, exempting non-profits creates blind spots—and quietly tells bad actors where to hide.

Toward a Single Standard of Fairness

  1. Outcome-Based Metrics for All. Whether a school is public, private, or for-profit, measure debt-to-earnings ratios, graduation rates, and default rates the same way.
  2. Unified Consumer Disclosures. Students deserve comparable data dashboards across every sector.
  3. Even-Handed Accountability. Penalties for poor performance or incentives for strong results should follow outcomes, not IRS classifications.

Where the Non-Profit Exception Came From

Congress originally drew a bright line, assuming mission differences: for-profits “sell” education, while non-profits “serve” it. But mission does not guarantee outcomes. Endowments and tax exemptions do not immunize schools from misaligned priorities, especially in a competitive tuition marketplace.

The Bottom Line

If a regulation truly advances student success and fiscal responsibility, it should be sector-agnostic. Good actors whether for-profit or non-profit will thrive under transparent, performance-driven rules. Bad actors no matter their label won’t. Equal rules are not only fair; they restore public trust in higher education as a whole.

ChatGPT said:

Fair Is Fair: One Rulebook for All Colleges

Few principles ring truer in a democracy than “equal rules for equal players.” Yet American higher education operates under two divergent regulatory regimes: tight restrictions for for-profit institutions and looser oversight for non-profits. If a regulation truly protects students and taxpayers, why should its force depend on a school’s tax status?

1. Why For-Profits Face Stricter Scrutiny

RationaleDetailWhy It Still Matters
Historical abusesHigh-pressure recruiting, inflated job-placement claims, and loan defaults in the early 2000s led Congress to clamp down.Past misconduct created a policy reflex: “If in doubt, tighten the screws on for-profits.”
Perceived incentivesShareholder returns can conflict with student success, pushing campuses to chase enrollment volume.Yet many for-profits now operate under PE ownership that rewards long-term EBITDA, not short-term churn.
Targeted policiesGainful Employment, the 90/10 Rule, and cohort-default penalties hit only for-profits.Carving out one sector perpetuates stigma, even when performance metrics have improved.

Takeaway: The stronger guardrails were justified but they’re now blunt instruments, catching both responsible and irresponsible operators.

2. Non-Profits Aren’t Immune to Failure

Low completion rates. Roughly 33% of four-year non-profit colleges graduate less than half their first-time freshmen numbers as poor as the most criticized for-profits.

Tuition inflation. Some private non-profits rely on pricey online master’s programs that generate margins rivaling those of Wall Street darlings. Mission statements don’t pay faculty salaries; tuition does.

Opaque outcomes. While non-profits escape Gainful Employment tests, fields like journalism, art history, and certain liberal-arts majors often carry debt-to-earnings ratios similar to the programs the rule punishes in the for-profit world.

Thought experiment: If we applied the same “debt-to-earnings” cutoff universally, how many non-profit programs in low-salary disciplines would fail?

3. Toward a Single Standard of Fairness

ReformHow It WorksBenefit
Outcome-Based Metrics for AllMeasure graduation, employment, and debt metrics identically for every institution.Focuses on performance, not tax status.
Unified Consumer DisclosuresOne dashboard tuition, net price, salary, default rate for every program nationwide.Empowers students to compare apples to apples.
Even-Handed AccountabilityPenalties (or bonuses) keyed to outcomes alone.Removes regulatory arbitrage and stigma.

**Few bad apples shouldn’t spoil the bushel **but a mixed barrel is impossible to sort when half the apples (non-profits) are never inspected.

4. Would Liberal-Arts Programs Survive Stricter Tests?

  • Journalism & Arts Degrees: Average early career pay often lags debt loads; under universal rules, some non-profit programs could lose federal funding unless they reduce tuition or improve placement.
  • Niche Humanities Majors: Outcomes differ drastically by institution. A classics degree at an Ivy may pass; the same program at a minimally selective college might not.
  • STEM vs. Non-STEM: Uniform metrics would highlight cross-subsidies—STEM surpluses often prop up liberal-arts deficits even at elite schools.

Implication: Transparency and accountability might force boards to rethink program pricing, size, or support services—uncomfortable, but student-centric.

5. Where the Non-Profit Exception Came From

Mid-20th-century lawmakers believed non-profits were intrinsically mission-driven and therefore self-regulating. That assumption no longer aligns with today’s competitive, tuition-dependent ecosystem. Missions remain laudable, but mission alone cannot guarantee results.

The Hidden Cost of Unequal Regulation: A Looming Shortage in Skilled Trades

America’s homes, hospitals, and critical infrastructure rely on HVAC technicians, plumbers, electricians, and medical assistants professions often trained at career-focused, for-profit colleges. Yet these schools operate under a stricter regulatory regime than their non-profit counterparts. The unintended consequence? A growing, nationwide shortage of skilled tradespeople.

How Bias in the Rulebook Hurts Supply

  1. Enrollment Bottlenecks
    • For-profit trade schools face the 90/10 Rule, cohort-default penalties, and program-level Gainful Employment tests that non-profit community colleges largely avoid.
    • When federal aid exposure nears regulatory caps, schools cap enrollment or close campuses shrinking the pipeline just as retirements accelerate.
  2. Capital Constraints
    • Private investors hesitate to back HVAC or welding programs when a single debt-to-earnings fluctuation can trigger federal sanctions.
    • Non-profits rarely step in; many community colleges already operate at capacity or lack funding for hands-on labs.
  3. Negative Signaling
    • The public narrative that “for-profits = predatory” deters students from high-ROI trades programs, pushing them toward four-year pathways that may not suit their goals or the labor market.

The Real-World Impact

  • HVAC & Refrigeration: The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects over 20,000 unfilled positions each year through 2032 jobs critical for climate-control systems in data centers and hospitals.
  • Electricians & Plumbers: Infrastructure spending is rising, but the workforce is aging; nearly 30% will retire in the next decade.
  • Medical Assistants: Outpatient clinics and telehealth hubs need support staff, yet program closures in allied-health colleges are widening gaps, especially in rural counties.

A Fairer Path Forward

If safeguards like debt-to-earnings ratios and transparency dashboards are genuinely student-centric, they should apply to all institutions, allowing quality programs regardless of tax status to expand. Leveling the playing field would:

  • Encourage responsible for-profit operators to invest in new labs and campuses.
  • Free community colleges from under-resourced waitlists.
  • Give students clear, comparable data to choose the best-performing programs.

Keeping two sets of rules starves the trades pipeline just when the nation needs it most. A unified, outcomes-based regulatory framework would protect learners and ensure America has skilled professionals to keep the lights on, the water flowing, and the operating rooms running.