September 24, 2021

Apollo pre-announced results fiscal 2Q10 results, lowers estimates

Apollo pre-announced results fiscal 2Q10 results, with EPS from continuing operations lower than our and the consensus estimate. 2Q10 EPS from continuing operations is expected to be $0.77-0.82 versus the consensus estimate of $0.94.

The pre-market announcement apparently is due to

 1) higher than expected bad debt expense,

 2) greater than expected investments in BP Holdings, the European education company that Apollo recently acquired.

Expected bad debt expense surged well above estimates as a % of revenue of 6.8-7.1%(a ~280 bps increase YoY) is higher than our estimate of 4.7% (a ~60 bps increase YoY). The lower than expected Q2 EPS also reflects a loss per share from BPP Holdings. Apollo has authorized a $500M incrase in the share repurchase program. The size of the share repurchase authorization program is now close to $800M.

The company will hold its 2Q10 conference call on March 29.

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